PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 1 - Jan., 2005 Jai Ho Oh Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea

Presentation on theme: "PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 1 - Jan., 2005 Jai Ho Oh Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea"— Presentation transcript:

1 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 1 - Jan., 2005 Jai Ho Oh jhoh@pknu.ac.kr Pukyong National University, Busan, Korea http://climate.pknu.ac.kr / The Regional R&D Framework for Ensemble Prediction of Rapidly Developing S.W.P. based on HPN & GRID Technology

2 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 2 -

3 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 3 - Initial State Uncertainty Truth Forecast 1. Traditional Forecasting Back Ground Briefing and Discussion

4 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 4 - t critical Deterministic Stochastic Initial State Uncertainty 2. Ensemble Forecasting

5 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 5 - Probability forecast

6 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 6 - 이미지 누락 100mm 97mm 3 시간간격의 관측치, 앙상블 강수량, 강수확률 비교 20.5mm 200207040900 200207041200200207041500200207041800200207042100200207050000 3. Example of Ensemble Forecast for Typhoon “Ramasoon”

7 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 7 - 105mm 124mm 98mm 200207050300200207050600200207050900200207051200200207051500200207051800 3 시간간격의 관측치, 앙상블 강수량, 강수확률 비교 3. Example of Ensemble Forecast for Typhoon “Ramasoon”

8 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 8 - 82.8mm 200207052100200207060000200207060300200207060600 3 시간간격의 관측치, 앙상블 강수량, 강수확률 비교 3. Example of Ensemble Forecast for Typhoon “Ramasoon”

9 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 9 - 4. Multi-ensemble forecast in USA

10 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 10 - 多多益善多多益善 5. Benefit of Multi-ensemble Prediction

11 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 11 - Establishment of GRID based Research Framework on Severe Weather Prediction GOAL

12 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 12 - GRID and Atmos. Sci. in KOREA Accomplish the Goal with GRID Significant Comp. Resources Great Amount of Data Limited Human and Computational Resources 다학제간 기상연구협업 Interdisciplinary works Probable Approaches

13 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 13 - The concept of virtual lab. for super ensemble prediction of severe weather phenomena - Access Grid : Cooperative meteorological research environment - Computational Grid : Distributed high performance computing - Data Grid : Virtual server for large meteorological data GRID concept is essential for C-J-K Research Framework About GRID based Research Framework GRID Web - Portal

14 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 14 - Major Components of C-J-K Framework Real-time C-J-K. collaboration with Access GRID Distributed high performance computing with Computational GRID Web-portal for data GRID

15 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 15 - 1 차년도 : C-J-K research Framework Installation

16 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 16 - Obs. IC BC IC BC NEW IC NEW BC IC BC MODEL OUT MO 2 차년도 : C-J-K research Framework Pilot Testing

17 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 17 - JMA KMA Observation Data-set CMA Observation Data-set 3 차년도 : C-J-K research Framework Operation

18 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 18 - Collabortion among C-J-K C-J-K Research Framework KOREA JAPAN CHINA Shearing Comp. Res. KISTI Cluster KT Cluster PKNU Storage NCAM Storage Shearing Obs. Data Shearing Ensemble Forecast

19 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 19 - Data Grid: Web 기반 기상 그리드 포털 구축 및 운영 (GTK 3.0) Data Grid: Web 기반 기상 그리드 포털 구축 및 운영 (GTK 3.0) Web PortalforData Grid Web Portal for Data Grid

20 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 20 - 공동연구를 위한 국내 네트웍 현황 초고속 선도망 이용기관은 현재 해외와 연결된 시험망 자동 이용

21 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 21 - KOREA light network & GLORIAD network. 초고속 선도망과 연동되는 해외망에 대한 TOPOLOGY. 공동연구를 위한 해외 네트웍 현황 해외 연동망을 활용한 기술 발전 방향 - 한 · 중간 연구전산망 연동을 통해 슈퍼컴퓨팅, 그리드 등을 비롯한 첨단 응용연구 활성 화 - 세계적인 과학기술 망인 글로리아드 (GLORIAD) 연구망에 한국의 주도적 참여 기대 - 초고속연구망 (KREONET) 와 과학기술연구망 (CSTNET) 을 통한 국내외 연구 활동 증 진

22 PKNU 19 th APAN Meetings in Bangkok, Jan. 24-28, 2005 - 22 - 공동연구 인력 및 정보 교류방안 년 2 회 이상의 C-J-K Workshop 연 2 회 이상의 C-J-K User Tutorials C-J-K Coresearch Framework KOREA JAPAN CHINA 월간회의 : Access Grid 실시간 화상회의시스템을 이용한 월 1 회 이상 실시